We wanted to stick to our roots and have the plays today at Belmont on Derby day. I will be condensing my plays to just the number and will be taking down the early double (Races 1-2) and a middle pick 3 (Races 6-8). Big Pete will have his full breakdown on his "Play of the Day" and the late pick 3 (Races 9-11). We appreciate you taking a look at this write-up and GOOD LUCK.
Little Pete's $2.00 Early Double:
R1: 3
R2: 1, 3, 4, 5, 6
Cost: $10.00
Little Pete's $ 1.00 Spot Pick 3:
R6: 5, 7, 11
R7: 2, 4, 5, 6
R8: 3, 4, 6
Cost: $36.00
Big Pete's $ 1.00 Late Pick 3:
R9: 1, 11, 12
R10: 1, 4
R11: 2, 6, 9, 11
Cost: $24.00
Big Pete's "Play of the Day":
Race 5:
The slop comes in play with my play of the day. The Super Savor's seems to relish the off so I want (2) TWELTH MAN in this spot. He has a win on a sloppy track and the extra furlong gives him enough time to catch the front runners. I'd keep an eye on Castellano today at Belmont as most of the jocks are in Louisville.
$ 7.00 WPS 2 Cost $ 21.00
$ 3.00 Ex 2, 6 w/ 1, 2, 3, 6 Cost $ 18.00
Big Pete's Late Pick 3:
Race 9:
I normally don't use maiden winners facing winners for the first time but (1A) BABY MAN has Bird Song and Birdstone in his pocket to take hold of this off track. They seem to glide over it and her maiden score was pretty fast. Right back. (12) TO A T returns quickly from her decent score last week. If she doesn't mind the short break, she meets a watered down field to go back to back. (11) SNICKET has been live recently against NY Breds and now tries open company. Not a big class hike for her and may be in the best form of them all.
$ 7.00 WPS 1 Cost $ 21.00
$ 5.00 Ex 1, 12 w/ 1, 11, 12 Cost $ 20.00
Race 10:
(4) CODY'S WISH will have a lot of backing in here as only 5 showed up. He closed fast last time to just miss but it wasn't the most talented bunch. I'll use defensively but will take a stab with (1) GREATEST HONOUR. He was beaten by Cody two back but that was off a year absence. He managed to get 3rd in his last but I'm expecting 3rd time back will be a charm.
$ 7.00 WPS 1 Cost $ 21.00
$ 5.00 Ex 1, 4 w/ 1, 3, 4 Cost $ 20.00
Race 11:
Whether grass or slop, I was leaning on (6) LOLLYGAG either way. She dropped to this level two back and showed speed that day. Then tried better last time and looks to have found the right field today. (11) LADY YELLEN is the MTO that stands out here. This Central Banker should move over this wet track and drops to the basement. The cut back to 6F seems right. (9) DARN THAT SONG als drops and moves back to dirt. Carmouche takes over and has run faster races than these already.
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