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Breeder's Cup at the Big "A" Saturday 11/4 - Pete's Picks

Writer's picture: Little PeteLittle Pete

Some Big A action and day 2 of the Breeder's Cup at Santa Anita. The weather is perfect and we have plays at each track. I will be looking to take down an early double (Races 1 & 2) and have an opinion on 3 of the Breeder's Cup races. Big Pete will have a "Play of the Day" and be looking to take down the late pick 3 (Races 8-10) at both tracks. . We appreciate you taking a look at this write-up and GOOD LUCK.

 

Little Pete's $ 1.00 Spot Pick 3 at the Breeder's Cup:


SA R6: 6, 8, 10, 14

SA R7: 3, 4, 8

SA R8: 5, 8, 9, 11

Cost: $48.00


Big Pete's $ 1.00 Late Pick 3 at the Breeder's Cup:


SA R9: 2, 5, 8, 13

SA R10: 4, 5, 12

SA R11: 1, 2, 6, 9

Cost: $ 48.00


Big Pete's $ 1.00 Late Pick 3 at the Big A:


Aqu R8: 4, 6

Aqu R9: 4, 8, 12

Aqu R10: 3, 4, 8, 10

Cost: $ 24.00

 

Big Pete's "Play of the Day" at the Big A:


Race 7: Aqueduct


Brown has two entered and both are mirror images of each other in the morning. Manny will take more money but the Madaglia D'Oro colt is the one I want. (6) TUSCAN GOLD Is bred to handle this 1M at first asking. They should be perched outside and close in with his stablemate turning for home.


I’ll use with (3) Hunt Ball and (5) Sierra Leone underneath.


$ 7.00 WPS 6 Cost $ 21.00

$ 3.00 Ex Box 3, 5, 6 Cost $ 18.00



 

Little Pete's Spot Pick 3 at the Breeder's Cup:


Race 6:


I am on a bomb in here with (8) Du Jour in ascending form. Flavien Prat back aboard and this horse should benefit from some early speed to run into late.(6) Mawj is going to look for a repeat performance from last time out when she made her US debut and that would be a wire to wire effort. (10) Songline from Japan looks FAST and will be eating up ground late against this field and will make it interesting. (14) Master of the Seas is another overseas horse that looks poised to destroy our turf and continue the European dominance on grass.


$5.00 WPS 8 Cost: $15.00

$3.00 Ex 8 w/ 6,10,14 Cost: $9.00

$2.00 Ex 6,10,14 w/ 6,8,10,14 Cost: $18.00


Race 7:


(3) Pretty Mischevious is my top pick in here with the favorable post postion and the late closing dominance under Tyler Gaffalione. (4) Idiomatic to the outside of my favorite will be shooting to the front early and that early advantage could pay off big late down the stretch. I am going to include another front seeking horse in (8) Randomized. I saw this one live for the Alabama win and Jose Ortiz getting the mount is a big angle for me with his hunger to find the lead on dirt and challenge horses behind him to come catch him late.


$5.00 WPS 3 Cost: $15.00

$4.00 Ex 3 w/ 4,8 Cost: $8.00

$2.00 Ex 4,8 w/ 3,4,8 Cost: $8.00


Race 8:


An overseas horse is going to win this turf marathon and I am going to go with (5) Auguste Rodin, (9) Mostahdaf, and (11) King of Steel. All three of these horses are going to be surging late down the stretch in the patented Europe way and going to be tough for the US horses to keep up. I will be including the red hot (8) Up To The Mark to represent the US in here with an addiction to winning in 2023.. USA, USA, USA!


$3.00 Ex Box 5,8,9,11 Cost: $36.00

 

Big Pete's Late Pick 3 at the Breeder's Cup:


Race 9:


The classic became wide open when Arcangelo came out IMO. But the show must go on. Japan is well represented this year as they bring in (5) DERME SOTOGAKE. They ran him in the Derby and was a quite 6th. He made a nice move to get into contention before his rough start took a toll. (8) USHBA TESORO is getting a lot of press as this guy likes to win. He's been this 10F and handled it easy. He looks very dangerous today. (2) ZANDON collects checks (12 outof 13 in the money) and looks to have improved this summer. I think the extra furlong will help this Upstart pass most of these if not all. I want the Tapit on the outside. (13) PROXY was built for this race and the connections have him ready to roll. Both 10F races this year where his best even though he came in 2nd both times. There should be enough speed to set up this guy coming from just off the pace.

$ 7.00 WPS 13 Cost $ 21.00

$ 3.00 Ex 8, 13 w/ 2, 5, 8, 13 Cost $ 18.00



Race 10:


(5) LIVE IN THE DREAM shipped in last month and almost pulled it off. I think we get a similar race today but he stayed here and waited for this. He looks tough to catch today but if anyone can, it's (12) ARZAK again. Saez returns on him and this guy has made some inprovements this summer. He looks to be in a zone and the outside draw should help him get clear of any traffic. I can't ignore the works on (7) NOBALS. He has picked it up in the 2nd half of this year with some big runs. He meets some fast runners today but he looks to be kicking the stalls down with those fast works.

$ 7.00 WPS 12 Cost $ 21.00

$ 5.00 Ex 5, 12 w/ 5, 7, 12 Cost $ 20.00



Race 11:


(2) DR. SCHIVEL will likely get overlooked with the low profile connections. All three 6F sprints this year have been sharp and has a couple of wins on this dirt course. He just missed against (6) THE CHOSEN VRON when they met in the Bing Crosby G1. Both look strong here and we should get a price on them. (9) GUNITE is the one tey have to reel in. He has high speed and just keeps going. I'm expecting others to go with him so I'll lean more with the stalkers/closers. The leads me to my wise guy play (1) NAKATOMI. He picks up Saez and figures to sit right behind the speeds. His last two efforts are his best yet. Ward looks to have this Firing Line in great form and is a big price with some closing kick.

$ 7.00 WPS 1 Cost $ 21.00

$ 3.00 Ex 1, 2 w/ 1, 2, 6, 9 Cost $ 18.00


 

Big Pete's Late Pick 3 at the Big A:


Race 8:


(6) MAKER'S CANDY has been facing much better this year and open company last time was just a little too much. Maker moves him back where he belongs and has found the right field. A possible single if you're saving money for out West but he has one problem to deal with. (4) COLLOQUY is the possible lone speed. If they leave this guy to him self, they all will be struggling to reel him in. I'll include incase they fall asleep.

$ 7.00 WPS 4 Cost $ 21.00

$ 5.00 Ex 4, 6 w/ 4, 5, 6 Cost $ 20.00



Race 9:


The outside flow is where I landed. (8) ROSIE JEEKS jogged in debut and if she's allowed to settle early, the rest are in a World Of Trouble. The Ireland bred, (12) EVER SO SWEET could be the thorn in Rosie's armor. If this girl can break and beat her to the front, she can make it interesting. I'm going to try and beat them both in hopes that they go at it up front. This will set it up for the NY Bred (4) GRAM to mount a late charge. She had some trouble in the Bolton Landing but figures to be outside all of the traffic and gather some steam turning for home.

$ 7.00 WPS 4 Cost $ 21.00

$ 5.00 Ex 4, 8 w/ 4, 8, 12 Cost $ 20.00


Race 10:


We’ll close it out with four, but I’ll be focus in on the closers to come late. (3) JOINT RESOLUTION drops to the 40k level and it's Clement and Davis. A must use. (4) YOUR MISSION has been running ok at this level and needs some of the new faces to not show up. The other dropping in is the one I want. (8) TONY O has a few races at the MSW level that make him a player here. The class drop should wake this guy up and the price is right. (10) MYLES is the wise guy choice as Clement switches jockeys after back to back bad runs.

$ 7.00 WPS 8 Cost $ 21.00

$ 3.00 Ex 3, 8 w/ 3, 4, 8, 10 Cost $ 18.00




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